Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.453752 0.520516 0.593012 0.677489 0.773131 0.877960 1.001475
2025-02-23 0.338933 0.426203 0.529175 0.659267 0.818844 1.007792 1.248043
2025-03-02 0.260485 0.356822 0.479581 0.646599 0.866918 1.146498 1.526909
2025-03-09 0.209281 0.310477 0.448946 0.650595 0.934756 1.318546 1.873310
2025-03-16 0.166741 0.266747 0.413064 0.640087 0.980130 1.466386 2.208995
2025-03-23 0.140158 0.240407 0.396387 0.652801 1.058649 1.669511 2.649273
2025-03-30 0.114887 0.210707 0.368823 0.643394 1.101141 1.823901 3.037119
2025-04-06 0.098351 0.191961 0.355052 0.652883 1.173470 2.031865 3.533043
2025-04-13 0.080991 0.168062 0.328049 0.634875 1.196283 2.161340 3.916461
2025-04-20 0.072089 0.158111 0.323926 0.656172 1.289325 2.418522 4.544171
2025-04-27 0.065083 0.150436 0.322559 0.681909 1.393177 2.705743 5.256480
2025-05-04 0.057053 0.138935 0.311601 0.686957 1.457999 2.928974 5.877186
2025-05-11 0.049490 0.127052 0.298140 0.685452 1.511044 3.138921 6.502703
2025-05-18 0.043215 0.116808 0.286394 0.685640 1.567482 3.362024 7.179603
2025-05-25 0.037796 0.107452 0.274963 0.684607 1.621042 3.585399 7.882292
2025-06-01 0.033957 0.101266 0.269776 0.696831 1.704886 3.879993 8.762285
2025-06-08 0.029650 0.092850 0.257683 0.690786 1.746716 4.090578 9.489289
2025-06-15 0.027053 0.088610 0.255281 0.707869 1.844137 4.431678 10.531860
2025-06-22 0.023692 0.081351 0.243700 0.699924 1.880669 4.641479 11.307829
2025-06-29 0.021538 0.077259 0.239921 0.711643 1.966917 4.973507 12.392950
2025-07-06 0.018597 0.069932 0.225731 0.693039 1.973994 5.121598 13.070102
2025-07-13 0.017362 0.067974 0.226744 0.716770 2.094044 5.551952 14.454519
2025-07-20 0.016359 0.066587 0.229233 0.745137 2.230158 6.035630 16.014246